Actions of authorities pose threat to Armenia`s stability and future  - political scientist

ArmInfo. Suspicious, manipulative processes are taking place in Armenia: the authorities stigmatize all 

those who speak out about the existing problems. Critics of the government are portrayed as warmongers. Naturally, it is clear that everyone wants peace, but the question is: where are the 

international guarantees? Political scientist Arman Ghukasyan said at 

the meeting with journalists.

According to him, Armenia and Azerbaijan decided to begin the process 

of delimitation and demarcation, but in fact this process is nothing 

more than unilateral concessions by the Armenian side and there are 

no guarantees that Azerbaijan will fulfill the general agreements.

"These authorities were dissatisfied with the Russian Federation and 

refused the mediation of the Russian side, but I do not see that 

there is Western mediation in this process. That is, there are no 

international guarantees and it is not clear why the Armenian 

authorities are so confident that Baku will fulfill its agreements, 

and that delimitation and demarcation shall be, and peace shall 

prevail. This is a very dubious process, and in the absence of 

international guarantees, it does not inspire confidence at all, 

given the traditional actions of the Azerbaijani side," he said.

As Ghukasyan pointed out, global changes are taking place in the 

world; within the framework of geopolitical processes, some 

international roads and communications are becoming irrelevant, 

others, on the contrary, are becoming more relevant, for example, the 

North-South road through the Caspian Sea and the South Caucasus in 

general is becoming interesting in this sense.  According to the 

political scientist, in the current realities, Armenia should look 

for its interest in this, have the opportunity to maximize it, and 

not allow some countries to try to promote their interests at the 

expense of Armenia, as is happening today.

"Today's actions of the RA authorities, and perhaps a not entirely 

correct perception of the processes, give reason to think that we 

are, to put it mildly, not in the best position. I see that Turkiye 

and Azerbaijan, as well as some countries, foreign policy forces are 

trying to solve their problems through interests of Armenia. And if 

we are talking about delimitation and demarcation processes, then 

they should have started on both sides, but we still see a one-sided 

process, which gives reason to believe that the process is happening 

at our expense, because it is not implemented in an equitable 

manner," he noted.  Regarding Armenian-Russian relations, Ghukasyan 

noted that the RA authorities, while creating problems in the 

political path, nevertheless perfectly understand the benefits of the 

economic side, and that the Russian market, as well as the EAEU, 

today really do not have an alternative for Armenia.

"We see that the Armenian side participates in summits and other 

meetings regarding the EAEU, and the most surprising thing is that 

among government officials there is an opinion that the economic and 

political can be separated. This is fundamentally wrong, it is not 

and cannot be that Armenia, for example, leaves the CSTO, and it does 

not affect the economy, this is impossible, and this is a very 

dangerous course: it is impossible to save the economy by rejecting 

politics," he emphasized. "Today, a very polarized situation has 

developed in the political and expert field of Armenia. There are 

circles that say that there are no problems or issues in 

Armenian-Russian relations, that they are artificial, and there are 

circles that, on the contrary, blame Russia for everything," he said.

"I think that problems have arisen in relations between Armenia and 

Russia not only because of the wrong orientation and wrong policy of 

the Armenian side, but also because of due to natural causes, taking 

into account changing geopolitical and regional realities. And in 

this sense, naturally, there is something to work on: there must be a 

dialogue, a clear and transparent dialogue to raise these issues, so 

that the pressing issues and how they can be resolved are clear. 

Unfortunately, I do not see such a process from the Armenian side, 

but, again, it is natural that such issues arise, because the 

interests of the Russian Federation are changing in the region. We 

need to understand what exactly Russia wants from the region, we need 

to understand that Armenian-Russian relations are moving to a new 

level, and we need to understand what it can give us. But there is no 

dialogue and, to put it mildly, this is bad," he said.

According to the political scientist, in the current harsh realities, 

Armenia should be guided in its actions first of all by its own state 

and national interests. Ghukasyan is confident that with the right 

diplomacy, Armenia could diversify its relations without harming 

relations with Russia.  "It is obvious that diversification should 

not be carried out to the detriment of third parties, including to 

the detriment of Armenian-Russian relations. Although today this is 

exactly what we are seeing, and the authorities are doing it in a 

rather cruel way. So in this sense, serious work remains to be done. 

I think that in the near future Armenia will find itself in an even 

more turbulent state, as global processes will accelerate, the world 

will become even more unstable and this will affect our region. And 

in this situation, the course of the Armenian authorities is very 

dangerous for the stability of Armenia itself, because the policy of 

diversification, carried out at the expense of what we have, carries 

threats and already brings problems. Yes, everyone strives for peace, 

but can we achieve peace in this logical construction? I seriously 

doubt it," Ghukasyan emphasized.

He also added that Armenia must resolve all issues with its ally 

Russia through dialogue and within the framework of the new reality, 

thereby forming a new level of Armenian-Russian relations.