Abbreviated Pundit Round-up: Another day of anti-Semitism and incompetence from Trump scampaign

Morning Consult with the first post-debate poll and a 4 point swing to Hillary (3 point lead):

Political analysts were quick to declare victory for Hillary Clinton after the Democratic nominee’s first debate with Donald Trump on Monday night, and a new Politico/Morning Consult poll shows roughly half of likely voters agree with that assessment.

According to the survey of likely voters conducted immediately after the debate at Hofstra University, 49 percent of respondents said Clinton won the first bout with her GOP foe. About one-fourth (26 percent) thought the New York businessman edged the former secretary of State, and about the same percentage (25 percent) were undecided…

But the impact of Monday’s debate is still small. Just 9 percent of voters said the debate changed their minds about who they will be voting for, while about eight out of 10 said it wouldn’t matter. Before the debate, Trump led Clinton by 1 point in the four-way race with Libertarian Party nominee Gary Johnson and Green Party candidate Jill Stein. But Clinton now leads Trump by 3 points (41 percent to 38 percent), and in a head-to-head scenario, she leads by 4 points (45 percent to 41 percent).

Ipsos/Reuters has a +4 HRC head to head (up from a tie last week, but no change immediately after the debate) with two sampled days post debate (unusual release for them). We also have Echalon +5, Times Picayune +5, PPP +4. Not bad numbers (winning by 5 is aka “winning”), but wait a few days to see whether there is a real change, then we can argue if it’s noise, the debates, or just reversion to the mean. 

But wait! PPP will have five swing states out today (PA,CO, VA, NC, FL), all worth watching.