Democrats think they’re winning – and, sadly, they’re right!
There’s no question that the ongoing U.S./Israeli campaign against Iran has opened some fissures in the conservative/MAGA movement, and that in itself is something to concern those who wish President Trump well, but a more troubling and possibly long-lasting realignment is happening concurrently: leftists and Democrats are reviving, despite the fact that we left them for dead in the wake of the 2024 election. Their squabbles are long forgotten, as the Trump haters find common purpose in – what else? – hating Trump.
Witness, first of all, the steady drumbeat of anti-Trump coverage in the mainstream media and on social media, exemplified in uniquely horrifying fashion by the tendency of the talking heads to root openly for Iran in the present conflict, and to portray the noble efforts of President Trump and the U.S. military to bring down the mullahs as aggression, inhumanity and pure stupidity. Whether this incessant calumny has any relationship to the facts or not, it is having a cumulative effect: Trump’s approval ratings are drifting down, and the Democrats’ advantage in generic ballot polls is gradually increasing. A point here and a point there may not seem like much, and the president’s base remains broadly enthusiastic, but no one can question that Trump and Republicans are in a steadily weakening political position. The Left’s lies, including its damned lies, are having an effect.
Second, it’s getting increasingly hard to ignore the trend in special elections, which is almost uniformly favorable to Democrats, and not in a subtle way. Democrats routinely outperform the results they obtained in 2024 in these special elections by 15 or 20 points. That’s a lot! Republicans even lost in Trump’s “backyard,” as the Dems love to point out, in a race for a Florida House seat in an area that includes Mar-a-Lago. Ouch! Meanwhile, Republican-held state legislative seats in Texas, Iowa, Mississippi, Georgia, New Hampshire and elsewhere have <href=”#Echobox=1774459414″>turned blue, and emphatically so. The Democrats think the momentum is on their side, and there’s very little evidence in the results of these special elections to contradict them.
Lastly, money makes the world go ’round, and politics even more so. The Democrats and leftists aren’t just taking to the streets in the millions, shaking their fists at “King Trump” – they’re also putting their money where their big, obnoxious mouths are. Contributions are pouring into special election campaigns and into the coffers of liberal candidates running in the midterms. The Democrats have become, lest anyone forget, the party of the well-heeled, and they are, as a result, tapping into an almost inexhaustible reservoir of financial support. They have massively outspent us in most recent election cycles, and they may well do so again in 2026, especially when dark money is factored in.
It is worth remembering that President Trump and Republicans face these severe headwinds despite the fact that the U.S. economy is basically sound, inflation low and the markets buoyant. What would happen if, say, the market tanked, or unemployment rose, or inflation heated up? How hard would it be to revive GOP fortunes then? An economic slowdown, moreover, is looking increasingly possible, according to economists.
The solutions to these challenges are by no means apparent, but one thing is for sure: the Democrats and leftists cannot be written off as perennial losers, and they cannot be depended on to sink their own ship. On the contrary, we should recognize that President Trump’s victory in 2024 came despite the inherent and broad-based strength of the Democratic Party and the Left, with all their ingrained advantages and prodigious institutional and popular support. To hold on to the House of Representatives in November (not to mention the Senate, which is looking increasingly shaky), it will take wise decisions from the president and his top lieutenants, as well as a maximum effort from Republicans, conservatives and the MAGA movement. Even then, we may fall short.
That’s just the sad, unvarnished truth.